MDB · NASDAQ · STOCK
MongoDB Inc.
$398.55
52W $198.47 – $444.72
60/100
$32.08B
—
1.55
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MDB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MongoDB Inc. (MDB) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.62 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -1.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 80 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 34.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 80 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 34.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.9 to 59.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 57->61 (+4); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
79.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
8.709
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$310.00
Resistance
$411.35
Bollinger %B
1.06
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$360.42
Above
EMA 21
$344.60
Above
EMA 50
$333.73
Above
EMA 200
$316.98
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
69
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
10.92×
PEG Ratio
-11.17
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$444.72
52W Low
$198.47
Quality & Growth
ROE
-241.0%
ROA
-189.3%
Gross Margin
7197.0%
Operating Margin
-415.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1109.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.9x; PEG ratio of -11.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.4%; Return on assets of -1.9%; Net margin of -1.1%; Gross margin of 72.0%; Current ratio of 4.95 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.46); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> -20.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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