MDB · NASDAQ · STOCK
MongoDB (MDB) Stock Analysis
$430.86
52W $212.31 – $473.10
61/100
$34.65B
—
1.54
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MDB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MongoDB Inc. (MDB) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.46 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -1.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 53.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 17%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 61.5.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.513
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$310.00
Resistance
$444.49
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$428.10
Above
EMA 21
$402.07
Above
EMA 50
$368.35
Above
EMA 200
$328.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
69
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
11.80×
PEG Ratio
-12.07
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$473.10
52W Low
$212.31
Quality & Growth
ROE
-241.0%
ROA
-189.3%
Gross Margin
7197.0%
Operating Margin
-415.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1198.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.8x; PEG ratio of -12.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.4%; Return on assets of -1.9%; Net margin of -1.1%; Gross margin of 72.0%; Current ratio of 4.95 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.46); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> -20.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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