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MongoDB (MDB) Stock Analysis

Technology Updated August 23, 2026
$430.86
52W $212.31 – $473.10
61/100
$34.65B
1.54
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
61/100
Conviction: High · 83% agreement · 6 analysts
+3.2%
-28.1%
0.11:1
High
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is MDB Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates MongoDB Inc. (MDB) Buy with a composite score of 61/100 , based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement. Last updated August 23, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.46 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only -1.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 53.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 17%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst neutral
43 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
69 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 61.5.

Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
58.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.513
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$310.00
Resistance
$444.49
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$428.10 Above
EMA 21
$402.07 Above
EMA 50
$368.35 Above
EMA 200
$328.59 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
67
Growth
69
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
P/B Ratio 11.80×
PEG Ratio -12.07
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $473.10
52W Low $212.31
Quality & Growth
ROE -241.0%
ROA -189.3%
Gross Margin 7197.0%
Operating Margin -415.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1198.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.8x; PEG ratio of -12.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.4%; Return on assets of -1.9%; Net margin of -1.1%; Gross margin of 72.0%; Current ratio of 4.95 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.46); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> -20.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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