MKC · NYSE · STOCK
McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Analysis
$52.09
52W $44.82 – $72.41
61/100
$14.00B
8.7
0.63
Is MKC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates McCormick & Company (MKC) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.12 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 25.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 108.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 108.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.1 to 61.1.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.441
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$47.53
Resistance
$69.75
Bollinger %B
0.02
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$53.71
Below
EMA 21
$53.79
Below
EMA 50
$52.85
Below
EMA 200
$56.22
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
72
Profitability
69
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.7×
P/B Ratio
2.00×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
3.63%
52W High
$72.41
52W Low
$44.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
1376.1%
ROA
598.0%
Gross Margin
3862.1%
Operating Margin
1534.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.71
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.8%; Return on assets of 6.0%; Net margin of 22.0%; Gross margin of 38.6%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.71; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.30); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-23.3% -> +21.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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