MKC · NYSE · STOCK
McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Analysis
$48.87
52W $44.82 – $72.41
57/100
$13.14B
8.1
0.63
Is MKC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates McCormick & Company (MKC) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.78 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.1 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 25.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 108.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 17 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 108.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.70 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.8 to 56.8.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
20.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.484
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$47.53
Resistance
$56.83
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$50.17
Below
EMA 21
$51.51
Below
EMA 50
$51.99
Below
EMA 200
$55.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
72
Profitability
69
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.1×
P/B Ratio
1.88×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
3.87%
52W High
$72.41
52W Low
$44.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
1376.1%
ROA
598.0%
Gross Margin
3862.1%
Operating Margin
1534.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.71
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.8%; Return on assets of 6.0%; Net margin of 22.0%; Gross margin of 38.6%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.71; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.30); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-23.3% -> +21.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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