MSCI · NYSE · STOCK
MSCI (MSCI) Stock Analysis
$564.59
52W $501.08 – $644.77
57/100
$41.08B
31.1
1.24
Is MSCI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.36 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.64 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 108.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 28.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 5.18 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.18) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 68%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 108.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.18) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 46->58 (+12).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.674
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$560.24
Resistance
$576.40
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$554.27
Above
EMA 21
$553.37
Above
EMA 50
$560.03
Above
EMA 200
$569.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
65
Profitability
75
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.1×
P/B Ratio
-15.34×
PEG Ratio
1.54
Dividend Yield
1.41%
52W High
$644.77
52W Low
$501.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4529.2%
ROA
2108.4%
Gross Margin
8297.4%
Operating Margin
5566.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-2.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -15.3x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -45.3%; Return on assets of 21.1%; Net margin of 40.7%; Gross margin of 83.0%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.89); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-2.4% -> +8.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 18.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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