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MSCI · NASDAQ · STOCK

MSCI Inc.

Financial Services Updated August 08, 2026
$563.06
52W $501.08 – $644.77
62/100
$40.94B
31.0
1.24
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
62/100
Conviction: Contested · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+2.4%
-0.5%
4.74:1
Contested

Is MSCI Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Buy with a composite score of 62/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated August 08, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.23 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.77 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 18.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 142 Financial Services peers
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 61.8 to 61.8.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
35.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.617
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$560.24
Resistance
$576.40
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$571.63 Below
EMA 21
$579.39 Below
EMA 50
$584.87 Below
EMA 200
$576.38 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
70
Growth
65
Profitability
75
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 31.0×
P/B Ratio -15.29×
PEG Ratio 1.53
Dividend Yield 1.37%
52W High $644.77
52W Low $501.08
Quality & Growth
ROE -4529.2%
ROA 2108.4%
Gross Margin 8297.4%
Operating Margin 5566.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -2.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -15.3x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -45.3%; Return on assets of 21.1%; Net margin of 40.7%; Gross margin of 83.0%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.89); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-2.4% -> +8.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 18.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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Explore MSCI Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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