MSCI · NYSE · STOCK
MSCI (MSCI) Stock Analysis
$566.05
52W $501.08 – $644.77
56/100
$41.54B
31.4
1.22
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MSCI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.55 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 5.18) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 108.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 28.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 5.18 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.18) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 108.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.18) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.5 to 55.5.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.190
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$560.24
Resistance
$576.40
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$566.47
Below
EMA 21
$570.32
Below
EMA 50
$577.87
Below
EMA 200
$575.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
69
Growth
65
Profitability
75
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.4×
P/B Ratio
-15.51×
PEG Ratio
1.55
Dividend Yield
1.39%
52W High
$644.77
52W Low
$501.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4529.2%
ROA
2108.4%
Gross Margin
8297.4%
Operating Margin
5566.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-2.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -15.5x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -45.3%; Return on assets of 21.1%; Net margin of 40.7%; Gross margin of 83.0%; Current ratio of 0.89 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.89); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-2.4% -> +8.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 18.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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