MSTR · NASDAQ · STOCK
MicroStrategy
$99.87
52W $81.81 – $414.36
61/100
$33.08B
-1.0
3.55
Is MSTR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MicroStrategy (MSTR) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 222 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 172 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 222 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.1 to 60.7.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.505
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$81.84
Resistance
$152.24
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$97.13
Above
EMA 21
$97.91
Above
EMA 50
$108.65
Below
EMA 200
$171.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
46
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-1.0×
P/B Ratio
0.76×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$414.36
52W Low
$81.81
Quality & Growth
ROE
-753.9%
ROA
-624.3%
Gross Margin
6760.1%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.15
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.5%; Return on assets of -6.2%; Net margin of -6103.0%; Gross margin of 67.6%; Current ratio of 5.39 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.15; Free cash flow per share is positive (33.04); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 223.0%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+10.9% -> +35.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -176.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full MSTR Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →