MXL · NASDAQ · STOCK
MaxLinear (MXL) Stock Analysis
$96.14
52W $12.77 – $128.30
64/100
$8.72B
-80.8
3.94
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MXL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.84 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.16 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 50.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 50.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -22.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 58.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -22.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 50.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 58.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.5 to 64.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.526
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$67.86
Resistance
$105.64
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$97.73
Below
EMA 21
$90.27
Above
EMA 50
$82.26
Above
EMA 200
$61.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
94
Profitability
23
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-80.8×
P/B Ratio
17.62×
PEG Ratio
-0.99
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$128.30
52W Low
$12.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3024.6%
ROA
-1716.2%
Gross Margin
5741.6%
Operating Margin
-1157.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -80.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 17.6x; PEG ratio of -1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -30.2%; Return on assets of -17.2%; Net margin of -18.2%; Gross margin of 57.4%; Current ratio of 1.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.04); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+15.8% -> +59.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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