NBIS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Analysis
$221.12
52W $73.52 – $299.86
57/100
$53.06B
850.3
1.46
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NBIS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Nebius Group (NBIS) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.59 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 488.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 1408.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 488.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 107 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 1408.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
27
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 1408.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 488.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 107 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.592
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$145.81
Resistance
$280.67
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$231.27
Below
EMA 21
$230.06
Below
EMA 50
$224.47
Below
EMA 200
$182.05
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Growth
90
Profitability
35
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
850.3×
P/B Ratio
5.99×
PEG Ratio
-11.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$299.86
52W Low
$73.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
220.4%
ROA
81.7%
Gross Margin
7426.0%
Operating Margin
-4933.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.97
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 850.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.0x; PEG ratio of -11.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.2%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 4.5%; Gross margin of 74.3%; Current ratio of 4.03 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.97; Free cash flow per share is negative (-21.01); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 81.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+54.3% -> +62.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 68.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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