NBIS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Analysis
$268.82
52W $62.01 – $299.86
58/100
$66.64B
—
1.44
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NBIS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Nebius Group (NBIS) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.38 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 488.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 1513.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 488.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 1513.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 61.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
27
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 1513.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 488.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 61.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 200 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 58.4.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
9.856
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$75.29
Resistance
$299.72
Bollinger %B
1.07
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$229.08
Above
EMA 21
$215.45
Above
EMA 50
$210.63
Above
EMA 200
$160.75
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
90
Profitability
35
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
7.52×
PEG Ratio
-13.87
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$299.86
52W Low
$62.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
220.4%
ROA
81.7%
Gross Margin
5861.6%
Operating Margin
-4933.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.97
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 1068.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.5x; PEG ratio of -13.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.2%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 4.5%; Gross margin of 58.6%; Current ratio of 4.03 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.97; Free cash flow per share is negative (-21.01); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 82.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+54.3% -> +62.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 68.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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