NOV · NYSE · STOCK
NOV (NOV) Stock Analysis
$21.39
52W $12.29 – $21.83
69/100
$7.66B
82.7
0.94
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NOV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NOV Inc. (NOV) Buy with a composite score of 69/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.94 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.06 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (85.5) confirms overbought conditions.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 10.7% downside vs 0.3% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 93 Energy peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 56.2 to 69.1.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 40% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->bullish; score 40->85 (+45).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 50).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.086
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$19.18
Resistance
$21.55
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$21.09
Above
EMA 21
$20.71
Above
EMA 50
$20.27
Above
EMA 200
$18.79
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
51
Profitability
8
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
82.7×
P/B Ratio
1.25×
PEG Ratio
-1.05
Dividend Yield
1.95%
52W High
$21.83
52W Low
$12.29
Quality & Growth
ROE
231.3%
ROA
128.4%
Gross Margin
2053.5%
Operating Margin
589.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 82.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.3%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 1.1%; Gross margin of 20.5%; Current ratio of 2.42 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.37; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.56); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 86.3%; EPS growth accelerating (+350.0% -> +520.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 6.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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