NVMI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Nova Ltd.
$395.45
52W $232.73 – $615.99
49/100
$12.58B
45.3
1.78
Is NVMI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.1% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.80 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 45.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -1.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 45.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.827
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$267.81
Resistance
$503.79
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$397.33
Below
EMA 21
$418.54
Below
EMA 50
$452.29
Below
EMA 200
$430.47
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Profitability
98
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
45.3×
P/B Ratio
8.54×
PEG Ratio
5.42
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$615.99
52W Low
$232.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
1966.4%
ROA
1098.2%
Gross Margin
5712.1%
Operating Margin
2897.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 45.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.5x; PEG ratio of 5.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.7%; Return on assets of 11.0%; Net margin of 28.8%; Gross margin of 57.1%; Current ratio of 1.55 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.55; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.15); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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