NVTS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Analysis
$10.78
52W $6.85 – $34.17
53/100
$2.81B
-8.1
3.96
Is NVTS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.01 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only -61.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -46.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -61.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -46.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.0 to 53.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.064
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$9.47
Resistance
$11.39
Bollinger %B
0.16
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.50
Below
EMA 21
$11.69
Below
EMA 50
$12.38
Below
EMA 200
$12.80
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
66
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-8.1×
P/B Ratio
3.17×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$34.17
52W Low
$6.85
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2636.1%
ROA
-2336.9%
Gross Margin
-169.7%
Operating Margin
-27024.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -8.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -26.4%; Return on assets of -23.4%; Net margin of -856.9%; Gross margin of -1.7%; Current ratio of 21.79 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+20.0% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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