NXPI · NASDAQ · STOCK
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Analysis
$227.43
52W $183.00 – $339.95
60/100
$57.37B
19.3
1.81
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NXPI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.33 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.67 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 39.6% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 28.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 39.6% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 39.6% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.2 to 59.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.393
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$207.32
Resistance
$233.52
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$235.08
Below
EMA 21
$234.33
Below
EMA 50
$238.15
Below
EMA 200
$243.88
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
84
Profitability
91
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.3×
P/B Ratio
5.04×
PEG Ratio
0.49
Dividend Yield
1.78%
52W High
$339.95
52W Low
$183.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2009.8%
ROA
760.9%
Gross Margin
5585.1%
Operating Margin
2865.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.1%; Return on assets of 7.6%; Net margin of 22.6%; Gross margin of 55.9%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.6%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-9.0% -> +18.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 32.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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