OBDC · NYSE · STOCK
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
$11.69
52W $10.52 – $14.44
50/100
$5.80B
20.9
0.67
Is OBDC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -3.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 10.7% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only 4.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -3.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -62.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 70 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.28 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only 4.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
18
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -3.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 70 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.28 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.095
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$11.64
Resistance
$11.96
Bollinger %B
1.04
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.31
Above
EMA 21
$11.12
Above
EMA 50
$11.07
Above
EMA 200
$11.75
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Profitability
70
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.9×
P/B Ratio
0.82×
PEG Ratio
-0.33
Dividend Yield
12.33%
52W High
$14.44
52W Low
$10.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
848.2%
ROA
365.1%
Gross Margin
6756.3%
Operating Margin
4868.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.12
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 20.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.5%; Return on assets of 3.7%; Net margin of 20.4%; Gross margin of 67.6%; Current ratio of 1.05 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.12; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.32); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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