ONDS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Ondas Holdings (ONDS) Stock Analysis
$6.74
52W $4.95 – $15.28
57/100
$3.84B
70.0
2.92
Is ONDS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.01 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 979.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 18.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 8.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 979.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.0 to 57.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.035
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$6.22
Resistance
$9.95
Bollinger %B
-0.09
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$7.15
Below
EMA 21
$7.35
Below
EMA 50
$7.72
Below
EMA 200
$8.24
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
5
Profitability
40
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
70.0×
P/B Ratio
2.15×
PEG Ratio
-13.99
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$15.28
52W Low
$4.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3018.5%
ROA
-1162.2%
Gross Margin
4372.4%
Operating Margin
-14040.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 70.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -14.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -30.2%; Return on assets of -11.6%; Net margin of 96.2%; Gross margin of 43.7%; Current ratio of 9.85 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.34); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 68.5%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+12.5% -> -100.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -75.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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