ORCL · NYSE · STOCK
Oracle (ORCL) Stock Analysis
$146.47
52W $114.50 – $345.72
57/100
$421.90B
24.7
1.72
Is ORCL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 35.0% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.01) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 50.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.0% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 16.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.01 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.01) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 32.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 50.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 26.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 35.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.01) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 56.5.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.875
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$135.27
Resistance
$171.73
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$145.29
Above
EMA 21
$143.19
Above
EMA 50
$148.71
Below
EMA 200
$172.17
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
92
Profitability
91
Financial Health
13
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.7×
P/B Ratio
9.92×
PEG Ratio
0.74
Dividend Yield
1.37%
52W High
$345.72
52W Low
$114.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
4019.7%
ROA
652.8%
Gross Margin
6581.1%
Operating Margin
3084.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.9x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.2%; Return on assets of 6.5%; Net margin of 25.4%; Gross margin of 65.8%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.67; Free cash flow per share is negative (-8.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-20.8% -> +13.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full ORCL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →