OWL · NYSE · STOCK
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Analysis
$11.66
52W $7.95 – $19.29
52/100
$18.26B
98.2
1.19
Is OWL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.94 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 28.7% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 243.9 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 28.7% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 243.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 3.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 243.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 28.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.9 to 51.9.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.083
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$8.31
Resistance
$16.99
Bollinger %B
0.58
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.69
Below
EMA 21
$11.30
Above
EMA 50
$10.61
Above
EMA 200
$11.82
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
20
Growth
68
Profitability
34
Financial Health
8
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
98.2×
P/B Ratio
4.03×
PEG Ratio
4.10
Dividend Yield
7.79%
52W High
$19.29
52W Low
$7.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
357.5%
ROA
63.2%
Gross Margin
6106.6%
Operating Margin
2260.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 98.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of 4.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.6%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 2.7%; Gross margin of 61.1%; Current ratio of 0.32 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.18; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-20.8% -> +15.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full OWL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →