PGY · NASDAQ · STOCK
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
$21.20
52W $10.40 – $44.99
65/100
$1.77B
14.1
5.37
Is PGY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.59 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 49.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 14%
of 284 Technology peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 49.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.302
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$20.27
Resistance
$26.78
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.64
Above
EMA 21
$19.29
Above
EMA 50
$17.62
Above
EMA 200
$17.62
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Profitability
59
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.1×
P/B Ratio
2.97×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$44.99
52W Low
$10.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
1695.5%
ROA
526.5%
Gross Margin
4063.6%
Operating Margin
2120.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 14.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.0%; Return on assets of 5.3%; Net margin of 9.6%; Gross margin of 40.6%; Current ratio of 11.51 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.03); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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