QLYS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Qualys (QLYS) Stock Analysis
$202.66
52W $74.51 – $204.41
60/100
$7.13B
34.9
0.60
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is QLYS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Qualys (QLYS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.71 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 70 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 70 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.2 to 59.7.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.711
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$157.16
Resistance
$206.30
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$193.38
Above
EMA 21
$186.73
Above
EMA 50
$175.85
Above
EMA 200
$143.88
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
17
Growth
75
Profitability
100
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
34.9×
P/B Ratio
12.71×
PEG Ratio
2.39
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$204.41
52W Low
$74.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
3534.2%
ROA
1811.0%
Gross Margin
8345.4%
Operating Margin
3460.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.7x; PEG ratio of 2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 35.3%; Return on assets of 18.1%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 83.5%; Current ratio of 1.38 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+4.3% -> +1.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.9%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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