QLYS · NASDAQ · STOCK
Qualys (QLYS) Stock Analysis
$181.21
52W $74.51 – $206.25
59/100
$6.66B
33.2
0.60
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is QLYS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Qualys (QLYS) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.9 to 59.2.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.095
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$157.16
Resistance
$199.02
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$193.63
Below
EMA 21
$189.07
Below
EMA 50
$178.57
Above
EMA 200
$145.86
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
21
Growth
75
Profitability
100
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.2×
P/B Ratio
12.09×
PEG Ratio
2.27
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$206.25
52W Low
$74.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
3534.2%
ROA
1811.0%
Gross Margin
8345.4%
Operating Margin
3460.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.1x; PEG ratio of 2.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 35.3%; Return on assets of 18.1%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 83.5%; Current ratio of 1.38 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+4.3% -> +1.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.9%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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