RBRK · NYSE · STOCK
Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Analysis
$125.15
52W $42.25 – $127.90
57/100
$25.76B
-98.5
1.12
Is RBRK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 42.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 42.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 79 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 25.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 42.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.581
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$120.31
Above
EMA 21
$113.66
Above
EMA 50
$102.83
Above
EMA 200
$82.33
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
75
Profitability
50
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-98.5×
P/B Ratio
-51.34×
PEG Ratio
-1.43
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$127.90
52W Low
$42.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
6713.9%
ROA
-1260.9%
Gross Margin
8020.6%
Operating Margin
-1831.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-2.27
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -98.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -51.3x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 67.1%; Return on assets of -12.6%; Net margin of -16.5%; Gross margin of 80.2%; Current ratio of 1.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.27; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.57); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 397.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+300.0% -> +25.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 766.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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