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Rubrik, Inc.

Technology Updated August 11, 2026
$96.89
52W $42.25 – $99.95
61/100
$19.95B
-66.4
1.17
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
61/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
Contested

Is RBRK Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Buy with a composite score of 61/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.25 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 45.7% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 40.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 45.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • RSI at 83 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
  • Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 40.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 284 Technology peers
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 45.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst neutral
51 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 83 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 40.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
82.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.421
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$72.75
Resistance
$97.80
Bollinger %B
1.05
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$86.87 Above
EMA 21
$81.99 Above
EMA 50
$77.07 Above
EMA 200
$70.30 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Profitability
50
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -66.4×
P/B Ratio -41.02×
PEG Ratio -0.87
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $99.95
52W Low $42.25
Quality & Growth
ROE 6713.9%
ROA -1260.9%
Gross Margin 8058.1%
Operating Margin -2140.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -2.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -66.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -41.0x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 67.1%; Return on assets of -12.6%; Net margin of -20.3%; Gross margin of 80.6%; Current ratio of 1.74 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.38; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.50); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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