RIOT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Riot Platforms (RIOT) Stock Analysis
$20.35
52W $11.50 – $30.32
57/100
$7.45B
-5.4
3.83
Is RIOT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.53 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.29) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only -48.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.96 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -48.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.29) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.96 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 56.5.
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.110
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$17.44
Resistance
$23.93
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.72
Below
EMA 21
$20.59
Below
EMA 50
$21.01
Below
EMA 200
$19.46
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
56
Profitability
0
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-5.4×
P/B Ratio
3.12×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$30.32
52W Low
$11.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2320.1%
ROA
-1684.6%
Gross Margin
-1376.2%
Operating Margin
-8911.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.13
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -5.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -23.2%; Return on assets of -16.8%; Net margin of -196.3%; Gross margin of -13.8%; Current ratio of 1.56 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.13; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.54); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 151.0%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+30.1% -> +52.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -173.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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