RIVN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Analysis
$16.96
52W $12.39 – $22.69
55/100
$20.60B
-6.6
1.61
Is RIVN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.10 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -67.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.1 to 55.1.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.090
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.36
Resistance
$17.14
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$15.90
Above
EMA 21
$16.01
Above
EMA 50
$16.15
Above
EMA 200
$15.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
86
Growth
95
Profitability
0
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.6×
P/B Ratio
4.26×
PEG Ratio
-0.29
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$22.69
52W Low
$12.39
Quality & Growth
ROE
-7985.1%
ROA
-2452.9%
Gross Margin
751.3%
Operating Margin
-6005.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -6.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -79.9%; Return on assets of -24.5%; Net margin of -55.0%; Gross margin of 7.5%; Current ratio of 2.10 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.04; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.71); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 28.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.6% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 42.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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