RIVN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Rivian Automotive
$16.00
52W $11.58 – $22.69
54/100
$19.42B
-6.2
1.60
Is RIVN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.63 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -67.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 60.0 to 54.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 82->77 (-6).
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: bearish at 30.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.145
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.36
Resistance
$16.17
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$15.91
Above
EMA 21
$16.29
Below
EMA 50
$16.32
Below
EMA 200
$15.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
95
Profitability
0
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.2×
P/B Ratio
4.02×
PEG Ratio
-0.27
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$22.69
52W Low
$11.58
Quality & Growth
ROE
-7985.1%
ROA
-2452.9%
Gross Margin
751.3%
Operating Margin
-6005.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -6.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -79.9%; Return on assets of -24.5%; Net margin of -55.0%; Gross margin of 7.5%; Current ratio of 2.10 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.04; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.71); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 28.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.6% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 42.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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