LCID · NASDAQ · STOCK
Lucid Group (LCID) Stock Analysis
$3.79
52W $2.37 – $22.42
56/100
$1.20B
-0.3
0.81
Is LCID Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.75 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 66.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -145.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -145.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 66.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.9 to 55.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 53->58 (+4).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
0.033
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$2.39
Resistance
$6.94
Bollinger %B
-0.02
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$3.99
Below
EMA 21
$4.20
Below
EMA 50
$4.81
Below
EMA 200
$8.24
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
25
Profitability
0
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-0.3×
P/B Ratio
0.78×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$22.42
52W Low
$2.37
Quality & Growth
ROE
-37614.7%
ROA
-3216.9%
Gross Margin
-9656.3%
Operating Margin
-26116.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -0.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -376.1%; Return on assets of -32.2%; Net margin of -263.7%; Gross margin of -96.6%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.82; Free cash flow per share is negative (-17.17); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 31.7%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth roughly steady (+4.4% -> +4.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -37.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full LCID Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →