LCID · NASDAQ · STOCK
Lucid Group (LCID) Stock Analysis
$4.67
52W $2.37 – $25.23
56/100
$1.49B
-0.3
0.81
Is LCID Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 66.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 28 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -145.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -145.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 66.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 28 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.9 to 55.9.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.089
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$4.47
Resistance
$6.94
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$4.90
Below
EMA 21
$5.43
Below
EMA 50
$5.94
Below
EMA 200
$9.36
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
25
Profitability
0
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-0.3×
P/B Ratio
0.97×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$25.23
52W Low
$2.37
Quality & Growth
ROE
-37614.7%
ROA
-3216.9%
Gross Margin
-9656.3%
Operating Margin
-26116.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -0.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -376.1%; Return on assets of -32.2%; Net margin of -263.7%; Gross margin of -96.6%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.82; Free cash flow per share is negative (-17.17); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 31.7%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth roughly steady (+4.4% -> +4.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -37.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full LCID Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →