LI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Li Auto (LI) Stock Analysis
$11.54
52W $10.66 – $23.20
50/100
$11.65B
-16.8
0.49
Is LI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Li Auto Inc. (LI) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -26.9% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -6.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -26.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -6.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -26.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.0 to 49.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 49->56 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.007
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.18
Above
EMA 21
$11.43
Above
EMA 50
$11.99
Below
EMA 200
$15.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
5
Profitability
4
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-16.8×
P/B Ratio
1.16×
PEG Ratio
0.19
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$23.20
52W Low
$10.66
Quality & Growth
ROE
154.8%
ROA
72.9%
Gross Margin
1358.9%
Operating Margin
-658.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -16.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of -4.4%; Gross margin of 13.6%; Current ratio of 1.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.45; Free cash flow per share is negative (-15.03); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 64.9%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+100.0% -> +29.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -245.1%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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