LI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Li Auto (LI) Stock Analysis
$13.06
52W $11.65 – $27.10
54/100
$13.18B
-49.4
0.55
Is LI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Li Auto Inc. (LI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.08 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -24.4% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -2.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -24.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 64%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -2.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -24.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 54.1.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.041
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$11.65
Resistance
$19.29
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.69
Above
EMA 21
$12.71
Above
EMA 50
$13.21
Below
EMA 200
$16.53
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
31
Profitability
4
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-49.4×
P/B Ratio
1.27×
PEG Ratio
0.41
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$27.10
52W Low
$11.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
150.6%
ROA
70.9%
Gross Margin
1598.6%
Operating Margin
-350.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -49.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of -1.7%; Gross margin of 16.0%; Current ratio of 1.88 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.25; Free cash flow per share is negative (-18.25); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 87.7%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-160.8% -> +100.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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