RPD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Rapid7 (RPD) Stock Analysis
$13.73
52W $4.97 – $19.84
47/100
$918.25M
45.1
1.02
Is RPD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Rapid7, Inc. (RPD) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.12 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 45.9 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 45.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 5.77 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -15.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 75 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 45.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -15.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 75 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.77) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.25 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.1 to 47.1.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 54->49 (-5); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 59->51 (-8); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.108
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$13.26
Resistance
$14.79
Bollinger %B
1.13
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.66
Above
EMA 21
$12.34
Above
EMA 50
$11.76
Above
EMA 200
$11.61
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
81
Profitability
50
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
45.1×
P/B Ratio
4.68×
PEG Ratio
-1.80
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$19.84
52W Low
$4.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
1511.1%
ROA
135.4%
Gross Margin
6929.7%
Operating Margin
124.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.89
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 45.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.7x; PEG ratio of -1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.1%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 2.4%; Gross margin of 69.3%; Current ratio of 0.80 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.89; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.09); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-18.2% -> +22.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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