SAIC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Science Applications Intl (SAIC) Stock Analysis
$134.41
52W $81.08 – $142.66
51/100
$5.69B
15.6
0.31
Is SAIC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Science Applications Intl Corp (SAIC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.90 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.66 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -0.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.66 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.9 to 50.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.171
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$118.25
Resistance
$136.03
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$128.59
Above
EMA 21
$128.68
Above
EMA 50
$126.05
Above
EMA 200
$113.54
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
58
Profitability
48
Financial Health
32
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.6×
P/B Ratio
3.98×
PEG Ratio
4.19
Dividend Yield
1.10%
52W High
$142.66
52W Low
$81.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
2386.7%
ROA
668.7%
Gross Margin
1264.5%
Operating Margin
780.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.88
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of 4.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.9%; Return on assets of 6.7%; Net margin of 5.1%; Gross margin of 12.6%; Current ratio of 1.20 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.88; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.60); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+23.3% -> -6.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -17.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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