SAIL · NASDAQ · STOCK
SailPoint (SAIL) Stock Analysis
$20.77
52W $10.30 – $23.89
66/100
$11.78B
-61.1
2.14
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SAIL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.88 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 23 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -2.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -2.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 23 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 62.1 to 65.9.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 67% to 83%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->80 (+22).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.132
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$18.32
Resistance
$21.85
Bollinger %B
0.63
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.29
Above
EMA 21
$20.10
Above
EMA 50
$19.10
Above
EMA 200
$17.37
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
86
Profitability
25
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-61.1×
P/B Ratio
1.72×
PEG Ratio
-0.55
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$23.89
52W Low
$10.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
-394.5%
ROA
-355.4%
Gross Margin
6622.0%
Operating Margin
-1891.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -61.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.9%; Return on assets of -3.6%; Net margin of -16.9%; Gross margin of 66.2%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-37.5% -> +80.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 28.6%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Get the Full SAIL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →