SIMO · NASDAQ · STOCK
Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Stock Analysis
$263.89
52W $79.76 – $355.00
65/100
$8.86B
7.7
1.68
Is SIMO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.91 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.09 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 70.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 70.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 267.9% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 70.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.1 to 65.1.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.393
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$204.60
Resistance
$354.48
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$273.86
Below
EMA 21
$271.03
Below
EMA 50
$265.91
Below
EMA 200
$216.40
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
89
Profitability
87
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.7×
P/B Ratio
2.14×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.76%
52W High
$355.00
52W Low
$79.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
1477.1%
ROA
1005.0%
Gross Margin
4886.9%
Operating Margin
1631.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.8%; Return on assets of 10.0%; Net margin of 22.1%; Gross margin of 48.9%; Current ratio of 2.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is negative (-14.21); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+25.4% -> +53.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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