SNEX · NASDAQ · STOCK
StoneX Group Inc.
$66.01
52W $36.45 – $94.66
53/100
$7.84B
10.7
0.66
Is SNEX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.40 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 92%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.859
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$45.18
Resistance
$83.26
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$69.72
Below
EMA 21
$72.91
Below
EMA 50
$74.91
Below
EMA 200
$63.39
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Profitability
18
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.7×
P/B Ratio
2.69×
PEG Ratio
0.33
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$94.66
52W Low
$36.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1286.7%
ROA
67.6%
Gross Margin
261.6%
Operating Margin
167.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
7.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 10.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 2.6%; Current ratio of 327.60 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 7.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (32.67); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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