SNEX · NASDAQ · STOCK
StoneX Group (SNEX) Stock Analysis
$69.45
52W $36.45 – $94.66
55/100
$8.26B
11.3
0.64
Is SNEX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.13 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.87 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 91%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.9 to 54.9.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.511
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$45.18
Resistance
$83.26
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.54
Above
EMA 21
$69.11
Above
EMA 50
$71.43
Below
EMA 200
$64.16
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
44
Profitability
18
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.3×
P/B Ratio
2.83×
PEG Ratio
0.34
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$94.66
52W Low
$36.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1286.7%
ROA
67.6%
Gross Margin
261.6%
Operating Margin
167.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
7.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 2.6%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 7.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (43.76); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 10.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+87.0% -> -27.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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