SNEX · NASDAQ · STOCK
StoneX Group (SNEX) Stock Analysis
$61.26
52W $36.45 – $94.66
53/100
$7.28B
9.9
0.62
Is SNEX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.13 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.87 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 7.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -40.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.4 to 52.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 45->33 (-12); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.551
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$45.18
Resistance
$71.25
Bollinger %B
0.03
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$63.73
Below
EMA 21
$65.60
Below
EMA 50
$68.10
Below
EMA 200
$64.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
44
Profitability
18
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.9×
P/B Ratio
2.49×
PEG Ratio
0.30
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$94.66
52W Low
$36.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1286.7%
ROA
67.6%
Gross Margin
261.6%
Operating Margin
167.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
7.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 2.6%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 7.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (43.76); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 10.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+87.0% -> -27.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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