STM · NYSE · STOCK
STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock Analysis
$52.05
52W $21.11 – $81.42
59/100
$46.47B
99.1
1.52
Is STM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.58 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 19 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 585.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -90.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 585.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -90.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 19 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.6 to 58.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.144
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$47.89
Resistance
$81.41
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$54.27
Below
EMA 21
$53.41
Below
EMA 50
$53.98
Below
EMA 200
$49.47
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
60
Profitability
16
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
99.1×
P/B Ratio
2.62×
PEG Ratio
-3.76
Dividend Yield
0.67%
52W High
$81.42
52W Low
$21.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
93.4%
ROA
67.1%
Gross Margin
3427.8%
Operating Margin
576.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 99.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of -3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.9%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of 3.5%; Gross margin of 34.3%; Current ratio of 2.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.0%; EPS growth accelerating (+18.2% -> +138.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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