TEL · NYSE · STOCK
TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock Analysis
$218.29
52W $190.27 – $252.56
64/100
$63.29B
21.2
1.14
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is TEL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates TE Connectivity (TEL) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.34 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 111.1% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 23.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 111.1% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 7%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 23.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 111.1% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.3 to 64.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.248
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$213.56
Resistance
$221.80
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$216.32
Above
EMA 21
$213.69
Above
EMA 50
$210.77
Above
EMA 200
$210.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
75
Growth
76
Profitability
66
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.2×
P/B Ratio
4.80×
PEG Ratio
0.19
Dividend Yield
1.37%
52W High
$252.56
52W Low
$190.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
1463.7%
ROA
734.4%
Gross Margin
3542.7%
Operating Margin
1908.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.8x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.6%; Return on assets of 7.3%; Net margin of 15.8%; Gross margin of 35.4%; Current ratio of 1.88 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (12.50); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.4%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+0.4% -> +7.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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