TGT · NYSE · STOCK
Target (TGT) Stock Analysis
$165.46
52W $83.44 – $165.47
57/100
$75.13B
17.1
0.97
Is TGT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Target Corporation (TGT) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.65 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 143 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 81 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 80 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (8d ago) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 81 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 143 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (8d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 53.4 to 56.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 56->82 (+26).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 63).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
81.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.811
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$132.64
Resistance
$167.33
Bollinger %B
1.11
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$156.40
Above
EMA 21
$150.92
Above
EMA 50
$142.82
Above
EMA 200
$124.94
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
84
Profitability
51
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.1×
P/B Ratio
4.21×
PEG Ratio
1.39
Dividend Yield
2.77%
52W High
$165.47
52W Low
$83.44
Quality & Growth
ROE
2292.0%
ROA
622.8%
Gross Margin
2930.3%
Operating Margin
559.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.2x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.9%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 29.3%; Current ratio of 0.99 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-29.9% -> +43.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full TGT Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →