TGT · NYSE · STOCK
Target (TGT) Stock Analysis
$153.72
52W $83.44 – $170.75
58/100
$69.84B
15.9
0.98
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is TGT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Target Corporation (TGT) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.70 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 115 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 26.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 115 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.7 to 57.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.576
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$132.64
Resistance
$158.38
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$154.60
Below
EMA 21
$155.88
Below
EMA 50
$153.69
Above
EMA 200
$134.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
84
Profitability
51
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.9×
P/B Ratio
3.92×
PEG Ratio
1.29
Dividend Yield
2.98%
52W High
$170.75
52W Low
$83.44
Quality & Growth
ROE
2292.0%
ROA
622.8%
Gross Margin
2930.3%
Operating Margin
559.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.9%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 29.3%; Current ratio of 0.99 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-29.9% -> +43.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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