TROW · NASDAQ · STOCK
T. Rowe Price (TROW) Stock Analysis
$109.78
52W $85.22 – $122.00
61/100
$23.76B
11.1
1.48
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is TROW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates T. Rowe Price (TROW) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.75 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.8 to 60.8.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.154
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$100.99
Resistance
$118.00
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$110.92
Below
EMA 21
$111.93
Below
EMA 50
$111.90
Below
EMA 200
$106.24
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
64
Profitability
99
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.1×
P/B Ratio
2.16×
PEG Ratio
0.98
Dividend Yield
4.64%
52W High
$122.00
52W Low
$85.22
Quality & Growth
ROE
1921.8%
ROA
1428.9%
Gross Margin
7074.8%
Operating Margin
3027.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.2%; Return on assets of 14.3%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 70.7%; Current ratio of 2.18 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.17); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+3.3% -> +2.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.7%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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