TROW · NASDAQ · STOCK
T. Rowe Price
$113.66
52W $85.22 – $122.00
62/100
$24.43B
11.4
1.48
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is TROW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates T. Rowe Price (TROW) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.48 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 142 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.7 to 61.7.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.806
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$100.99
Resistance
$118.00
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.22
Below
EMA 21
$115.48
Below
EMA 50
$112.47
Above
EMA 200
$105.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
64
Profitability
99
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.4×
P/B Ratio
2.22×
PEG Ratio
1.00
Dividend Yield
4.51%
52W High
$122.00
52W Low
$85.22
Quality & Growth
ROE
1921.8%
ROA
1428.9%
Gross Margin
7074.8%
Operating Margin
3027.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.2%; Return on assets of 14.3%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 70.7%; Current ratio of 2.18 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.17); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+3.3% -> +2.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.7%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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