TSEM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Analysis
$203.49
52W $71.64 – $319.94
60/100
$25.07B
87.4
0.89
Is TSEM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.11 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.89 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 133.9% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 84.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -12.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 84.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 133.9% YoY
− Revenue declining -12.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.8 to 59.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: score 66->69 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.854
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$190.58
Resistance
$277.27
Bollinger %B
0.05
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$226.40
Below
EMA 21
$227.72
Below
EMA 50
$227.60
Below
EMA 200
$198.72
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
18
Growth
94
Profitability
52
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
87.4×
P/B Ratio
8.18×
PEG Ratio
1.92
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$319.94
52W Low
$71.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
759.0%
ROA
663.6%
Gross Margin
2687.1%
Operating Margin
1615.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 87.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.2x; PEG ratio of 1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.6%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 16.9%; Gross margin of 26.9%; Current ratio of 4.91 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.7% -> +35.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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