TW · NASDAQ · STOCK
Tradeweb Markets (TW) Stock Analysis
$102.42
52W $91.42 – $127.69
60/100
$21.62B
24.2
0.63
Is TW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Watch with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 61.4% YoY — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 26.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 61.4% YoY
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 59.9.
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.671
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$97.13
Resistance
$111.88
Bollinger %B
0.10
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$103.50
Below
EMA 21
$104.25
Below
EMA 50
$103.97
Below
EMA 200
$108.84
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
36
Profitability
90
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.2×
P/B Ratio
3.25×
PEG Ratio
0.40
Dividend Yield
0.53%
52W High
$127.69
52W Low
$91.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
1249.0%
ROA
992.5%
Gross Margin
6814.4%
Operating Margin
4412.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.5%; Return on assets of 9.9%; Net margin of 40.7%; Gross margin of 68.1%; Current ratio of 6.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.96); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+24.1% -> -10.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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