TXN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Analysis
$283.64
52W $152.73 – $334.03
52/100
$259.12B
42.9
1.34
Is TXN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Texas Instruments (TXN) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.39 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 35.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.4% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 43.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 35.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 43.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 52.4.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.219
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$274.10
Resistance
$333.92
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$286.05
Below
EMA 21
$279.71
Above
EMA 50
$276.35
Above
EMA 200
$256.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
14
Growth
74
Profitability
99
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.9×
P/B Ratio
14.37×
PEG Ratio
2.17
Dividend Yield
2.00%
52W High
$334.03
52W Low
$152.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
3073.2%
ROA
1446.0%
Gross Margin
5832.5%
Operating Margin
3729.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.4x; PEG ratio of 2.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 30.7%; Return on assets of 14.5%; Net margin of 31.1%; Gross margin of 58.3%; Current ratio of 4.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.87); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+32.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 51.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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