UI · NYSE · STOCK
Ubiquiti (UI) Stock Analysis
$617.09
52W $500.23 – $1099.99
69/100
$37.54B
39.1
1.31
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is UI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Buy with a composite score of 69/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.96 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 2 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 85.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 27.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 34.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 39.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 22.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 85.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 39.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 27.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
90
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 69.7 to 69.0.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: score 79->90 (+11); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.691
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$528.36
Resistance
$626.58
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$617.28
Below
EMA 21
$603.34
Above
EMA 50
$591.09
Above
EMA 200
$614.82
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
88
Profitability
91
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.1×
P/B Ratio
26.06×
PEG Ratio
1.12
Dividend Yield
0.55%
52W High
$1099.99
52W Low
$500.23
Quality & Growth
ROE
6667.6%
ROA
4368.6%
Gross Margin
4616.1%
Operating Margin
3620.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 26.1x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 66.7%; Return on assets of 43.7%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 46.2%; Current ratio of 2.93 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (15.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.9%; EPS growth accelerating (+0.0% -> +21.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 33.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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