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Ubiquiti (UI) Stock Analysis

Technology Updated October 10, 2026
$656.06
52W $500.23 – $1099.99
65/100
$39.78B
41.4
1.31
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
65/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+22.3%
-19.5%
1.14:1
Moderate

Is UI Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Buy with a composite score of 65/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.66 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 27.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 85.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Revenue growing 27.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • EPS growing 34.8% YoY — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • P/E of 41.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 22.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • RSI at 80 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 6%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst neutral
49 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 85.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 27.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 80 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
79 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.67 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 63.8 to 64.7.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: score 74->79 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
79.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
8.382
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$528.36
Resistance
$802.22
Bollinger %B
1.01
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$620.79 Above
EMA 21
$599.68 Above
EMA 50
$588.08 Above
EMA 200
$614.81 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
30
Growth
88
Profitability
91
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 41.4×
P/B Ratio 27.62×
PEG Ratio 1.19
Dividend Yield 0.52%
52W High $1099.99
52W Low $500.23
Quality & Growth
ROE 6667.6%
ROA 4368.6%
Gross Margin 4616.1%
Operating Margin 3620.6%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 27.6x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 66.7%; Return on assets of 43.7%; Net margin of 29.3%; Gross margin of 46.2%; Current ratio of 2.93 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (15.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.9%; EPS growth accelerating (+0.0% -> +21.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 33.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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