VIAV · NASDAQ · STOCK
Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Stock Analysis
$45.45
52W $12.43 – $60.43
61/100
$11.21B
-354.0
1.21
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is VIAV Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.62 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 40.0% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 40.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -3.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 50.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 8.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 40.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 50.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.6 to 60.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.653
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$32.80
Resistance
$46.66
Bollinger %B
0.75
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.52
Above
EMA 21
$41.98
Above
EMA 50
$40.61
Above
EMA 200
$36.35
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
87
Profitability
24
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-354.0×
P/B Ratio
7.20×
PEG Ratio
1.69
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$60.43
52W Low
$12.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
-209.9%
ROA
-112.4%
Gross Margin
5765.7%
Operating Margin
692.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -354.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.2x; PEG ratio of 1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.1%; Return on assets of -1.1%; Net margin of -2.0%; Gross margin of 57.7%; Current ratio of 1.85 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.36); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+22.7% -> +25.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 161.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full VIAV Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →