VIRT · NYSE · STOCK
Virtu Financial (VIRT) Stock Analysis
$57.51
52W $31.55 – $68.76
58/100
$12.24B
7.3
0.65
Is VIRT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.66 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 60.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 33.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 60.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 36.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 4.40 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.40) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 4.40 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 60.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.40) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.7 to 57.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.502
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$54.32
Resistance
$67.58
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$58.01
Below
EMA 21
$58.05
Below
EMA 50
$58.66
Below
EMA 200
$52.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
69
Profitability
74
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.3×
P/B Ratio
2.68×
PEG Ratio
0.09
Dividend Yield
1.67%
52W High
$68.76
52W Low
$31.55
Quality & Growth
ROE
2960.0%
ROA
232.4%
Gross Margin
5544.7%
Operating Margin
3881.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.41
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 29.6%; Return on assets of 2.3%; Net margin of 16.8%; Gross margin of 55.4%; Current ratio of 1.11 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.41; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.69); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+21.1% -> -18.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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