VNT · NYSE · STOCK
Vontier (VNT) Stock Analysis
$32.24
52W $27.25 – $48.20
52/100
$4.54B
13.3
1.13
Is VNT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Vontier (VNT) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.68) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 28.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.68 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -8.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.68) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -8.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.68) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 52.4.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.134
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$32.12
Resistance
$33.04
Bollinger %B
0.76
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.03
Above
EMA 21
$31.94
Above
EMA 50
$31.94
Above
EMA 200
$33.47
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
67
Profitability
79
Financial Health
41
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.3×
P/B Ratio
3.77×
PEG Ratio
-1.74
Dividend Yield
0.31%
52W High
$48.20
52W Low
$27.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
3263.9%
ROA
929.6%
Gross Margin
4661.9%
Operating Margin
1894.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.62
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of -1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 32.6%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 11.3%; Gross margin of 46.6%; Current ratio of 1.25 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.62; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.38); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.0% -> +11.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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