VSAT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Viasat (VSAT) Stock Analysis
$71.98
52W $29.13 – $93.03
54/100
$9.92B
-277.0
1.76
Is VSAT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.40 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- ROE of only -0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 79%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 54.4.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.095
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.60
Resistance
$88.34
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.13
Above
EMA 21
$71.97
Above
EMA 50
$72.80
Below
EMA 200
$62.17
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
70
Profitability
7
Financial Health
62
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-277.0×
P/B Ratio
2.11×
PEG Ratio
-1.19
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$93.03
52W Low
$29.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
-73.1%
ROA
-22.4%
Gross Margin
3041.1%
Operating Margin
235.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.49
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -277.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.7%; Return on assets of -0.2%; Net margin of -0.6%; Gross margin of 30.4%; Current ratio of 1.68 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.49; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.25); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 23.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-555.6% -> +53.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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