WOLF · NYSE · STOCK
Wolfspeed (WOLF) Stock Analysis
$30.57
52W $13.48 – $80.82
47/100
$1.59B
-1.5
8.50
Is WOLF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Wolfspeed Inc. (WOLF) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.07 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -12.2% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 75.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 350.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.82 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.82) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 47.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 75.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 350.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.82) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.1 to 47.1.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.394
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$20.01
Resistance
$35.18
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.76
Below
EMA 21
$29.39
Above
EMA 50
$29.63
Above
EMA 200
$28.88
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
18
Profitability
1
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-1.5×
P/B Ratio
1.70×
PEG Ratio
-0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$80.82
52W Low
$13.48
Quality & Growth
ROE
47.3%
ROA
14.6%
Gross Margin
-3491.2%
Operating Margin
-8110.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.5%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of -159.3%; Gross margin of -34.9%; Current ratio of 6.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.82; Free cash flow per share is negative (-6.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+46.6% -> +30.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -193.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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