WU · NYSE · STOCK
The Western Union Company
$7.04
52W $6.27 – $10.35
49/100
$2.20B
5.6
0.52
Is WU Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates The Western Union Company (WU) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.6% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 42.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 10.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 3.00 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -53.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 3.00 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
18
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.00) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.092
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$6.91
Resistance
$8.84
Bollinger %B
0.25
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$7.22
Below
EMA 21
$7.51
Below
EMA 50
$7.79
Below
EMA 200
$8.54
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Profitability
60
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
5.6×
P/B Ratio
2.41×
PEG Ratio
-0.11
Dividend Yield
13.33%
52W High
$10.35
52W Low
$6.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
5216.1%
ROA
601.5%
Gross Margin
3297.3%
Operating Margin
1620.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 5.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 52.2%; Return on assets of 6.0%; Net margin of 9.8%; Gross margin of 33.0%; Current ratio of 3.75 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.95; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.29); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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