YUM · NYSE · STOCK
Yum! Brands (YUM) Stock Analysis
$144.85
52W $134.26 – $170.14
54/100
$39.92B
18.1
0.55
Is YUM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Yum! Brands Inc. (YUM) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 57.2% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.31) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 117.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 57.2% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 35.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.31 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 117.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 35.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 57.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.31) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.9 to 53.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 33%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 46->39 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.120
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$142.29
Resistance
$152.93
Bollinger %B
0.99
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$140.53
Above
EMA 21
$141.02
Above
EMA 50
$144.62
Above
EMA 200
$150.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
68
Profitability
66
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.1×
P/B Ratio
-5.64×
PEG Ratio
0.32
Dividend Yield
2.04%
52W High
$170.14
52W Low
$134.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2128.3%
ROA
1901.9%
Gross Margin
4580.4%
Operating Margin
3099.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.73
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -5.6x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -21.3%; Return on assets of 19.0%; Net margin of 25.4%; Gross margin of 45.8%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.73; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.06); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +8.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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