YUM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Yum! Brands Inc.
$150.77
52W $137.33 – $170.14
59/100
$41.55B
18.8
0.56
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is YUM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Yum! Brands Inc. (YUM) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.81 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 57.2% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.31) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 117.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 57.2% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 76 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 35.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.31 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.31) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 117.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 35.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 57.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.31) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 76 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.8 to 58.8.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.155
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$145.50
Resistance
$152.93
Bollinger %B
0.47
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$151.19
Below
EMA 21
$152.14
Below
EMA 50
$153.52
Below
EMA 200
$153.40
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
68
Profitability
66
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.8×
P/B Ratio
-5.88×
PEG Ratio
0.33
Dividend Yield
1.94%
52W High
$170.14
52W Low
$137.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2128.3%
ROA
1901.9%
Gross Margin
4580.4%
Operating Margin
3099.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.73
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -5.9x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -21.3%; Return on assets of 19.0%; Net margin of 25.4%; Gross margin of 45.8%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.73; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.06); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +8.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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