Is HLT a buy or sell right now?

Innellis AI committee rates Hilton Worldwide Buy with a composite score of 68/100.

Do analysts agree on HLT?

4 AI analysts evaluated Hilton Worldwide, with 75 percent agreement on the overall direction.

What is the near-term upside for HLT?

Based on nearby resistance levels, Hilton Worldwide has a near-term technical upside of +7.2 percent. This is a support/resistance measure, not a price target.

HLT · NYSE · STOCK

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated September 06, 2026

$310.94

52W $253.54 – $358.00

AI Score

68/100

Market Cap

$70.04B

P/E Ratio

45.2

Beta

1.06

Is HLT Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Buy with a composite score of 68/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated September 06, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy: Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch: Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.38 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case

Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro

Bear Case

MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical

Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.

Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 06, 2026

Overall Committee Score

68/100

Agreement

75%

Analysts

Conviction

High

Sector Rank

Top 10%

of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers

Growth Analyst bullish

85 / 100 · Low confidence

Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution

+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive

Technical Analyst neutral

48 / 100 · High confidence

Mixed or range-bound price action

− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum

Macro Analyst bullish

80 / 100 · Low confidence

Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor

+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking

News Analyst bullish

60 / 100 · Low confidence

News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive

Portfolio Manager neutral

45 / 100 · High confidence

Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position

+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy

− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)

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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened significantly from 53.9 to 68.4.

Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 75%.
Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.

Analyst-level changes:

Growth Analyst: score 62->85 (+22).
Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 40).

Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)

31.9

Neutral

MACD Histogram

-1.670

Bearish Momentum

Trend Direction

Sideways

Weekly: Uptrend

Market Structure

Mixed

Support

$290.05

Resistance

$333.20

Bollinger %B

0.14

Inside Bands

Price vs Moving Averages

EMA 9

$317.28 Below

EMA 21

$320.91 Below

EMA 50

$323.88 Below

EMA 200

$311.35 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation

Growth

Profitability

Financial Health

Cash Flow

Valuation

P/E Ratio 45.2×

P/B Ratio -11.21×

PEG Ratio 9.92

Dividend Yield 0.19%

52W High $358.00

52W Low $253.54

Quality & Growth

ROE -2704.2%

ROA 868.6%

Gross Margin 4406.1%

Operating Margin 2334.8%

Revenue Growth YoY —

Debt / Equity -2.22

AI Fundamental Assessment

P/E ratio of 45.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -11.2x; PEG ratio of 9.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -27.0%; Return on assets of 8.7%; Net margin of 12.7%; Gross margin of 44.1%; Current ratio of 0.65 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.22; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.84); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-3.4% -> +13.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters

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