ABNB · NASDAQ · STOCK
Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Analysis
$190.12
52W $110.81 – $189.20
61/100
$111.17B
42.4
1.14
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ABNB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Airbnb (ABNB) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.20 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 33.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 86 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 39.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 39.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.2 to 61.2.
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.217
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$162.31
Resistance
$191.63
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$181.58
Above
EMA 21
$171.31
Above
EMA 50
$158.15
Above
EMA 200
$140.84
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
74
Profitability
100
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.4×
P/B Ratio
14.22×
PEG Ratio
8.09
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$189.20
52W Low
$110.81
Quality & Growth
ROE
3062.6%
ROA
1130.7%
Gross Margin
8290.1%
Operating Margin
2080.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.2x; PEG ratio of 8.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 30.6%; Return on assets of 11.3%; Net margin of 20.4%; Gross margin of 82.9%; Current ratio of 1.41 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-53.6% -> +426.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 34.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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