ACI · NYSE · STOCK
Albertsons (ACI) Stock Analysis
$12.20
52W $10.86 – $20.00
47/100
$5.92B
152.4
0.23
Is ACI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Albertsons (ACI) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 90.2 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 90.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 2.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.87 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -95.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 95%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 90.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -95.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.87) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.1 to 47.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.059
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$10.87
Resistance
$15.47
Bollinger %B
0.61
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.91
Above
EMA 21
$11.96
Above
EMA 50
$12.36
Below
EMA 200
$14.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
43
Profitability
21
Financial Health
2
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
152.4×
P/B Ratio
3.85×
PEG Ratio
-1.60
Dividend Yield
5.25%
52W High
$20.00
52W Low
$10.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
1184.0%
ROA
81.2%
Gross Margin
2652.7%
Operating Margin
67.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
9.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 152.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.8%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 26.5%; Current ratio of 0.84 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 9.74; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.38); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 23.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-33.3% -> -12.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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