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ACVA · NYSE · STOCK

ACV Auctions (ACVA) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$10.44
52W $4.07 – $10.50
58/100
$1.82B
-28.8
1.76
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
58/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+65.4%
-1.1%
56.84:1
Moderate

Is ACVA Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA) Watch with a composite score of 58/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.56 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.44 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -15.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • Weekly RSI at 76 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
52 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -15.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
44 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 58.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
74.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
-0.103
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$10.32
Resistance
$17.27
Bollinger %B
0.36
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$10.42 Above
EMA 21
$10.02 Above
EMA 50
$9.04 Above
EMA 200
$8.12 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
84
Growth
69
Profitability
25
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -28.8×
P/B Ratio 4.58×
PEG Ratio -5.76
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $10.50
52W Low $4.07
Quality & Growth
ROE -1539.3%
ROA -609.2%
Gross Margin 6249.3%
Operating Margin -709.4%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -28.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of -5.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -15.4%; Return on assets of -6.1%; Net margin of -7.9%; Gross margin of 62.5%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.03); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 32.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+45.5% -> +16.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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