AN · NYSE · STOCK
AutoNation (AN) Stock Analysis
$157.47
52W $152.86 – $235.81
55/100
$5.27B
7.1
0.72
Is AN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AutoNation (AN) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 6.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 33.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 4.17 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -0.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 23 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 6.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 4.17 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 35.4% YoY
− Revenue declining -0.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 52.1 to 55.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 32->52 (+20); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
31.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.055
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$154.00
Resistance
$158.30
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$160.31
Below
EMA 21
$169.56
Below
EMA 50
$182.90
Below
EMA 200
$194.49
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
66
Profitability
40
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.1×
P/B Ratio
2.33×
PEG Ratio
0.20
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$235.81
52W Low
$152.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
2772.6%
ROA
451.0%
Gross Margin
1783.5%
Operating Margin
460.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
5.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.7%; Return on assets of 4.5%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 17.8%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.36); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.7% -> +18.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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