APTV · NYSE · STOCK
Aptiv (APTV) Stock Analysis
$43.81
52W $42.56 – $88.93
51/100
$9.27B
41.7
1.36
Is APTV Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aptiv (APTV) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.81 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.19 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -75.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 81%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 41.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.2 to 51.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.271
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.03
Below
EMA 21
$44.45
Below
EMA 50
$47.22
Below
EMA 200
$58.74
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
53
Profitability
5
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.7×
P/B Ratio
1.06×
PEG Ratio
-0.55
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$88.93
52W Low
$42.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
179.2%
ROA
70.5%
Gross Margin
1992.5%
Operating Margin
546.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.8%; Return on assets of 0.7%; Net margin of 1.2%; Gross margin of 19.9%; Current ratio of 2.02 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.60); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-8.1% -> -4.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.1%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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