WMT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis
$111.36
52W $98.88 – $135.16
52/100
$886.13B
40.2
0.58
Is WMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Walmart Inc. (WMT) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.33 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.67 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 22.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.79 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 22.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.79 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.3 to 51.7.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.552
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$109.82
Resistance
$116.85
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$108.16
Above
EMA 21
$107.66
Above
EMA 50
$108.92
Above
EMA 200
$112.91
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
76
Profitability
51
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
40.2×
P/B Ratio
9.02×
PEG Ratio
9.72
Dividend Yield
0.88%
52W High
$135.16
52W Low
$98.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
2197.7%
ROA
769.1%
Gross Margin
2523.1%
Operating Margin
438.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 40.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.0x; PEG ratio of 9.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.0%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 3.0%; Gross margin of 25.2%; Current ratio of 0.77 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-10.8% -> +22.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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