WMT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis
$103.70
52W $95.42 – $135.16
48/100
$825.25B
37.4
0.60
Is WMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Walmart Inc. (WMT) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.46 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 23.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 23.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.79 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.5 to 48.5.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.762
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$98.91
Resistance
$104.70
Bollinger %B
-0.14
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$110.48
Below
EMA 21
$111.88
Below
EMA 50
$114.08
Below
EMA 200
$115.35
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
3
Growth
76
Profitability
51
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.4×
P/B Ratio
8.40×
PEG Ratio
9.05
Dividend Yield
0.94%
52W High
$135.16
52W Low
$95.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
2197.7%
ROA
769.1%
Gross Margin
2523.1%
Operating Margin
438.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.4x; PEG ratio of 9.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.0%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 3.0%; Gross margin of 25.2%; Current ratio of 0.77 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-10.8% -> +22.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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