BIRK · NYSE · STOCK
Birkenstock Holding plc
$37.51
52W $31.12 – $53.53
60/100
$6.89B
16.9
1.30
Is BIRK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 43.2% YoY — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.34 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 43.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.224
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$36.46
Resistance
$42.60
Bollinger %B
0.16
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.82
Below
EMA 21
$40.33
Below
EMA 50
$41.41
Below
EMA 200
$42.02
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Profitability
77
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.9×
P/B Ratio
2.06×
PEG Ratio
0.40
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$53.53
52W Low
$31.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
1279.3%
ROA
704.8%
Gross Margin
5610.2%
Operating Margin
2525.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 16.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.8%; Return on assets of 7.0%; Net margin of 16.3%; Gross margin of 56.1%; Current ratio of 2.95 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.74); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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