BLBD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Blue Bird Corporation
$66.23
52W $46.14 – $83.39
61/100
$2.09B
7.8
1.39
Is BLBD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 76.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 135.2% YoY — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.40 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 7.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 135.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.331
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$52.01
Resistance
$80.99
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.43
Below
EMA 21
$73.22
Below
EMA 50
$73.17
Below
EMA 200
$63.35
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Profitability
72
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.8×
P/B Ratio
3.46×
PEG Ratio
0.06
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$83.39
52W Low
$46.14
Quality & Growth
ROE
5000.5%
ROA
2042.7%
Gross Margin
2057.2%
Operating Margin
1177.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 7.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 50.0%; Return on assets of 20.4%; Net margin of 17.5%; Gross margin of 20.6%; Current ratio of 1.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.47); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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